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New Report: How Democrats Collude with Autocrats: Azerbaijan’s Elections Rigged with International Help

Our latest report reveals how representatives from both democratic and autocratic states helped Aliyev’s regime create an image of international and domestic legitimacy around Azerbaijan’s fraudulent 2024 snap parliamentary election.

On September 1, 2024, the New Azerbaijan Party, led by President Ilham Aliyev, claimed a narrow victory in Azerbaijan’s snap parliamentary election. Although voting day itself was peaceful, the election process was far from democratic. Civil society and independent journalists faced harassment, forced emigration, and arrests throughout the campaign, while both international and domestic observers reported widespread electoral manipulation.

To create the illusion of credible international oversight, the Aliyev regime invited several hundred international observers to the election. Fewer than half of these observers met international standards for election monitoring. The others, despite clear evidence of widespread electoral manipulation, publicly endorsed the election as meeting “high standards,” lending unwarranted legitimacy to a fraudulent practice.

Key findings:

– 107 fake observers identified: Our report lists 107 individuals, including elected or appointed representatives from democratic countries who falsely validated the electoral process

– Election Commissioners as fake observers: We observed an unprecedented increase in involving election administration members in fraudulent observation efforts. We identified officials from Central Election Commissions (CEC) from ten internationally recognized states lending legitimacy to Azerbaijan’s sham elections.

– Trend of Collusion with Autocrats: This troubling trend of CEC representatives as “fake observers” extends beyond Azerbaijan. Our preliminary findings indicate similar patterns in Russia’s 2024 “Single Voting Day” (report forthcoming), highlighting an urgent need to rework the code of conduct of election commissions worldwide to prevent the discrediting of the institutions they represent.

Recommendations for Democratic Safeguards

In the context of fake observers coming to legitimize elections in Azerbaijan, EPDE proposes several calls to action to discourage the participation of fake observers, increase transparency, and hold individuals and organizations accountable for undermining democratic processes and discrediting the integrity of the democratic institutions and democratic governments they represent:

1. EPDE calls on international organizations, political parties, and media outlets to regularly check EPDE’s list of fake observers at fakeobservers.org. Our database aims to deter participation by those who, for whatever reason or gain – blackmail, financial, or pure naivety – legitimize undemocratic elections.

2. EPDE calls on key democratic institutions, such as the European Union, U.S. Congress, or the Council of Europe, to publicly denounce and condemn participation in fake observation missions as harmful to global democratic standards. EPDE calls on democratic governments and international organizations to strengthen the diplomatic and political pressure on Azerbaijan to ensure they only invite credible and impartial election observers from organizations complying with international standards of election observation, such as OSCE/ ODIHR, OSCE PA, or the PACE.

3. The EU and other democratic countries should impose targeted sanctions or legal measures against third-country nationals participating in fake observation missions. Such measures could include travel bans, asset freezes, or bans on representing their countries in bilateral and multilateral engagements. This includes exclusion from conferences, academic exchanges, and any form of international cooperation based in the EU or other democratic na- tions.

4. EPDE encourages media outlets globally to raise awareness and educate citizens about the dangers of fake election observation and the role certain individuals play in legitimizing fraudulent elections abroad to reduce their credibility and discourage others from par- ticipating.

5. EPDE urges election monitoring bodies and domestic election commissions globally to adopt stricter transparency measures. These should include publishing a complete, detailed list of all observers, their affiliations, and their observation experience to simplify the identification and discreditation of election observers.

6. Additionally, EPDE calls on institutions and national and regional parliaments to establish and implement laws and clear ethical guidelines for individuals, particularly elected officials, participating in election observation missions. These guidelines should emphasize impartiality and non-alignment with authoritarian regimes. EPDE stresses that violating these guidelines should lead to exclusion from future international democratic election observation missions.

7. Finally, EPDE calls on democratic countries and institutions to introduce career and financial disincentives for individuals participating in these activities, such as barring them from holding positions in publicly funded democratic organizations, NGOs, or international bodies.

Our report and our fake observers database provide a valuable resource for journalists, researchers, and advocacy groups seeking to understand electoral disinformation tactics, networks of malign influence, and learn more about our recommendations for democratic safeguards. 

Get in touch with Lukasz Kondraciuk, Head of Electoral Integrity at EPDE, via email: kondraciuk@european-exchange.org

(November 6, 2024)
Azerbaijan

The situation on the eve of the elections*2025. The first report of the “Human rights defenders for free elections” campaign

The next, seventh, presidential elections* in Belarus have been scheduled by the House of Representatives for January 26, 2025, amid a deep human rights crisis caused by repression following peaceful protests against fraud in the 2020 presidential elections. This repression persists and even intensifies to this day: the authorities continue to arbitrarily persecute candidates, members of campaign teams and initiative groups, observers, activists and simply concerned citizens who have supported the nomination of independent candidates with their signatures. The discriminatory rhetoric of the authorities, who have declared people who do not share pro-government narratives as “enemies”, persists and intensifies.

Conclusions

By suddenly calling elections* six months before the expected date and leaving 95 days for the entire procedure, the authorities once again instrumentalized electoral procedures, adjusting the election date to political objectives, thereby violating electoral legislation from the point of view of equality of opportunity for candidates and the principle of election predictability stipulated by international electoral standards.

Conducting a free and open election campaign is impossible in a situation of ongoing political terror: the list of political prisoners is updated weekly and there are consistently more than 1,300 people in it. The information space has been entirely purged; nearly all independent media outlets have been forced out of the country, and the distribution of their materials from abroad is severely hindered by politically motivated misuse of anti-extremist legislation. The “state ideology” serves the cult of authoritarian rule of A. Lukashenka. There is no recognition of the importance of political pluralism in the public field.

The incredible pressure on civil society organizations, especially human rights organizations, and their widespread liquidation exclude civilian control over the conduct of elections. There is no independent civilian monitoring of the elections within the country; at the moment, only the politically biased international election observers are invited.

In such conditions, it can be ascertained that it is impossible for citizens to exercise their electoral rights freely. 

The expert elections*2025 monitoring mission was organized by the Belarusian Helsinki Committee and the Viasna Human Rights Center as part of the “Human Rights Defenders for Free Elections” campaign. The mission collects and analyzes information about the election campaign based on open sources and messages from voters from Belarus.

(November 5, 2024)
Belarus

Promo-LEX Mission for Observing the Presidential Elections and Republican Constitutional Referendum on October 20 (November 3), 2024: Conclusions and Findings – Second Round of Presidential Elections

On November 3, 2024, the day of the Presidential Elections (second round of elections) the Promo-LEX Observation Mission (OM) deployed short-term observers (STOs) to 614 polling stations, selected based on a sample provided by a sociological firm. Furthermore, a static observer was assigned to each of the 30 polling stations designated for voters from the Transnistrian region.

Particular attention was given to polling stations abroad, with 90 static observers deployed to monitor these locations.

In addition to the static observers, the Promo-LEX Observation Mission deployed 89 mobile teams to monitor the electoral process in polling stations not covered by the sample. These mobile teams also assessed accessibility to the polling stations, including those where voters from the Transnistrian region cast their ballots.

After processing all alert reports submitted by observers, the Promo-LEX Observation Mission identified a total of 791 incidents during the election day.

(November 4, 2024)
Moldova

A Referendum on Europe: Georgia’s Opposition Gears Up for Change

As Georgia gears up for its parliamentary elections on October 26, 2024, opposition parties are consolidating their efforts into coalitions with the objective of displacing the ruling party. These coalitions are fueled by concerns that the current government is jeopardizing the nation’s European Union integration by enacting anti-democratic laws and promoting anti-Western sentiments.

This election presents a pivotal chance for the opposition leading to the formation of four significant electoral alliances. They are framing the elections as a referendum on the critical choice between aligning with Europe or falling under Russian influence.

In light of the “Georgian Dream” government’s controversial adoption of the Transparency of Foreign Influence Law, which has faced widespread public and international backlash, the opposition has united around the imperative to protect Georgia’s European path. President Salome Zurabishvili has introduced the “Georgian Charter,” a comprehensive reform agenda aimed at accelerating EU integration, binding signatory parties to implement democratic reforms within a year of the elections.

While there is broad agreement on the reform agenda, analysts remain cautious about the opposition’s genuine commitment due to their history of fragmentation. Each coalition/Party – Unity Coalition, Coalition for Change, Coalition Strong Georgia, and For Georgia – brings distinct strengths and challenges, with varying strategies for EU alignment and democratic reforms.

Ultimately, these elections will serve as a critical litmus test for the opposition’s ability to forge a successful governing coalition and fulfill their mandate for EU integration, potentially reshaping Georgia’s political landscape and its future direction toward Europe.

About the author

Mariam Chikhladze is an independent international consultant specializing in democratic elections, civil society development, and parliamentary and political party strengthening. She has extensive experience with USAID’s governance programs in Georgia, managing the parliamentary support portfolios. She has also contributed to UNDP’s key legislative strengthening project. Previously, Mariam worked with the International Republican Institute (IRI) on programs in Georgia and Armenia and on behalf of the Alliance of Democracies Foundation, facilitated the political parties’ pledge for election integrity in the 2020 parliamentary elections in Georgia. Earlier in her career, she managed the grassroots empowerment program of the Netherlands Institute for Multiparty Democracy (NIMD) in four regions of Georgia. Mariam Chikhladze holds a Master’s in Public Policy Analysis from the Bush School of Public Service and Government at Texas A&M University, awarded through the Fulbright Graduate Student Program. She also completed the Edmund Muskie Professional Fellowship at the Hudson Institute, in Washington, DC.

(October 24, 2024)
Georgia

Georgian Dream’s Authoritarian Push Ahead of the Pivotal Elections

On August 20, 2024, Georgian Dream (GD), the ruling party of Georgia, announced an anti-democratic, anti-liberal agenda for the upcoming October 26 elections. The party aims to secure a constitutional majority to pursue four key initiatives: banning political opposition, cracking down on “gay propaganda,” revising the governance system, and enhancing the Georgian Orthodox Church’s role in the constitution.

GD plans to outlaw major opposition parties accusing them of destabilizing the government. This message seems intended to intensify political polarization in Georgian society. Additionally, GD has adopted alarmingly anti-liberal legislation to restrict LGBTQ+ freedoms and rights and is pushing for constitutional amendment to enshrine so-called “traditional family values”. 

The party also proposes revising the governance system to address hypothetical scenarios of territorial restoration, a proposal that appears politically unfeasible and aimed at stoking nationalist sentiments. Furthermore, GD seeks to elevate the Orthodox Church’s constitutional status, but this proposal has met resistance from the Church, due to concerns about losing power.

GD’s campaign frames the election as a choice between stability and chaos, traditional values and moral decay, and sovereignty versus external dependence. GD’s campaign rhetoric deepens polarization domestically, alienates Georgia’s allies, and undermines the country’s progress on its path to EU integration.

About the author

Mariam Chikhladze is an independent international consultant specializing in democratic elections, civil society development, and parliamentary and political party strengthening. She has extensive experience with USAID’s governance programs in Georgia, managing the parliamentary support portfolios. She has also contributed to UNDP’s key legislative strengthening project. Previously, Mariam worked with the International Republican Institute (IRI) on programs in Georgia and Armenia and on behalf of the Alliance of Democracies Foundation, facilitated the political parties’ pledge for election integrity in the 2020 parliamentary elections in Georgia. Earlier in her career, she managed the grassroots empowerment program of the Netherlands Institute for Multiparty Democracy (NIMD) in four regions of Georgia. Mariam Chikhladze holds a Master’s in Public Policy Analysis from the Bush School of Public Service and Government at Texas A&M University, awarded through the Fulbright Graduate Student Program. She also completed the Edmund Muskie Professional Fellowship at the Hudson Institute, in Washington, DC.

(October 24, 2024)
Georgia

Promo-LEX Mission for Observing the Presidential Elections and Republican Constitutional Referendum on October 20, 2024: Conclusions and Findings – Election Day

On October 20, 2024, the day of the Presidential Elections and the Republican Constitutional Referendum, the Promo-LEX Observation Mission (OM) deployed short-term observers (STOs) to 614 polling stations, selected based on a sample provided by a sociological firm. Furthermore, a static observer was assigned to each of the 30 polling stations designated for voters from the Transnistrian region.

Particular attention was given to polling stations abroad, with 91 static observers deployed to monitor these locations.

In addition to the static observers, the Promo-LEX Observation Mission deployed 89 mobile teams to monitor the electoral process in polling stations not covered by the sample. These mobile teams also assessed accessibility to the polling stations, including those where voters from the Transnistrian region cast their ballots.

After processing all alert reports submitted by observers, the Promo-LEX Observation Mission identified a total of 778 incidents during the election day.

(October 22, 2024)

REPORT NO. 4 | Observation Mission: Moldova presidential elections and republican constitutional referendum October 20, 2024

Promo-LEX Association presented today the fourth report of the Observation Mission (OM) of the Presidential Elections and the Republican Constitutional Referendum from 20 October, covering the findings in the period 1 October – 15 October. The report mainly reflects the last two weeks of the electoral campaign, the legal framework relevant to the electoral process, the performance of electoral competitors, as well as the work of electoral bodies in preparation for the 20 October elections.

Main findings

Legal framework. In the observation process, OM noted concerns regarding the application of legal rules on passive and active electoral corruption. However, based on the announcement by the authorities of more than 100 minutes reports on passive electoral bribery, OM finds that there is no information on the initiation of criminal proceedings, including for electoral corruption. Promo-LEX recommends that the prosecution body takes all the necessary steps to eradicate the phenomenon of electoral corruption as a whole and not only in part.

Promo-LEX has also laid down several legal arguments showing that the electoral activity of PB Victorie (Victory) cannot be disguised under paid service and volunteer contracts, as allegedly claimed.

Performance of electoral competitors. During the monitored period, Promo-LEX observers identified 1,799 activities carried out by candidates and referendum participants, with a significant number of events organized by PAS and Maia Sandu (615 activities), while other candidates – Alexandr Stoianoglo (PSRM) and Renato Usatii (PN) – reported 329 and 223 activities, respectively. Electoral campaigning activities included distribution of information materials, meetings with voters and electoral debates.

As regards electoral advertising, Promo-LEX reported 5,073 cases of various forms of advertising, the most common being printed materials (30%) and sponsored advertising (24%).

As for the activities carried out by PR/PB Victorie (Victory), it should be recalled that only PR is registered as a referendum participant. However, it was found that the organizers of the electoral events belong to all the component parties of PB Victorie (Victory), and the promotional materials used (bags, t-shirts, LED billboards with the inscription ‘Victorie’) come mainly from PB Victorie (Victory). Thus, the electoral promotion of the referendum is de facto carried out by the same bloc whose registration was refused by the CEC.

Misuse of administrative resources was found in 114 cases, most of them related to the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS) and Maia Sandu (105 cases). Several public officials were involved in the campaign activities, in particular by the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS). Prime Minister Dorin Recean held meetings with voters, where he discussed European integration projects and encouraged support for Maia Sandu. Several ministers were also involved in the electoral campaign, distributing promotional materials in support of Maia Sandu and the ‚YES’ option in the referendum.

Also, cases of using state institutions to accumulate electoral capital, involvement of civil servants in electoral activities during working hours, as well as crediting candidates for public works carried out with public funds were observed.

Involvement of religious denominations in electoral campaigns. Promo-LEX reported 5 other cases in which members of religious denominations were involved in electoral campaigning activities, supporting candidates and using the image of religious buildings in electoral promotional materials. As a reminder, church involvement in electoral processes is forbidden.

Activities with potential for corruption. During the monitored period a number of activities was identified, including the offering of money and goods to influence voting. In several cases PB Victorie (Victory) is involved, which organized events announcing certain benefits for Moldovan citizens living in Russia, as well as electoral meetings with rewards. Victoria Furtună has also been involved in cases of coordinated electoral meetings, which raise suspicions that voters were paid to participate in them.

Electoral competitors’ revenues and expenditures: Between 20 September and 13 October, the total revenues reported by the 11 presidential competitors amounted to approximately 27.8 million MDL, which came mostly from donations from individuals and transfers from party accounts. As for expenditures, they amounted to about 24.7 million MDL, most of which were spent on advertising and promotional materials.

Expenditures estimated by Promo-LEX. The civic monitoring of electoral campaign financing was conducted from 20 September to 13 October 2024 by estimating the expenditures of electoral competitors and comparing them with the amounts declared to the Central Electoral Commission (CEC). Estimates for unreported expenditures include rewards for volunteers and campaigners, promotional materials, social media advertising and event organization. In the presidential elections, unreported expenditures amounted to at least 4,066,387 MDL, the majority of which were related to promotional materials (81%). For the referendum, unreported expenditures of 4,675,512 MDL were estimated, with a similar focus on promotional materials (64%) and social media advertising (16%).

Hate speech and incitement to discrimination. Between 23 September and 6 October 2024, 23 cases of hate speech were identified, 19 of them in an electoral context. These occurred predominantly via mobile apps and at public events, most often based on criteria such as ‘sexual orientation/gender identity’ and ‚health’.

The Observation Mission is financially supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the European Union and the German Marshall Fund of the USA, the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, the International Organization of Francophonie, and Soros Foundation Moldova. The Observation Mission is carried out under the aegis of the Civic Coalition for Free and Fair Elections.

(October 18, 2024)
Moldova

Disinformation and Foreign Interference in Moldovan Elections

On October 20, 2024, Moldova will not only hold its presidential elections and a Constitutional Referendum but will also face a critical test of its resilience against hybrid threats. With the Kremlin opposing Moldova’s EU accession goals, the election period is vulnerable to disinformation, propaganda, and covert provocations.

In this second Moldova Policy Alert, Petru Culeac examines the challenges posed by foreign interference, including the impact of Russian-funded media, and explores how recent legislative and institutional reforms aim to safeguard Moldova’s democratic integrity.

About the author

Petru Culeac is the co-founder and Executive Director of the Moldova Development Institute, a newly established organization dedicated to improving the social, political, and economic landscape in Moldova. With over 15 years of experience in Moldova’s non-pro!it sector, Petru has an in-depth understanding of the country’s context and its development agenda as well as extensive organizational management experience. Until 2023, Petru served as Executive Director of Soros Foundation Moldova, a renowned non-pro!it foundation, part of the Open Society Foundations network, recognized as a key civil society actor in the Republic of Moldova. Under Petru’s leadership, the foundation expanded its portfolio and successfully implemented numerous technical assistance projects, including for Moldovan authorities in areas such as anti-corruption, justice reform, elections, and education, as well as emergency response projects at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Previously, Petru worked in areas of democracy promotion, free and fair elections, local development, citizen engagement, and youth activism, successfully cooperating with local and international organizations, such as USAID, Chemonics, East Europe Foundation, and IFC. Petru’s academic background includes degrees in Business Management, and European and International Studies from institutions in Moldova, France, and the United States.

(October 11, 2024)
Moldova

Interim Report of Pre-Election Monitoring in Georgia (27 August – 30 September)

Introduction

The next parliamentary elections in Georgia will be held on October 26, 2024. For the first time in the country’s history, Georgian citizens will elect the highest representative body through a proportional electoral system, which will play a decisive role in the composition of the government, along with the election of the President of Georgia. The change in the electoral system, which has the potential to fundamentally affect the development of the party and the political system in general, has already led to significant changes in party politics and is likely to influence voter behavior as well. At the same time, the main political unions consider the upcoming elections to be crucial for the country’s future.

According to Georgian legislation, the official pre-election period began 60 days before the election day, on August 27. The International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (hereinafter “ISFED”) commenced its monitoring of pre-election processes across the country, in 73 electoral districts, earlier on June 1, 2024. On June 25, the organization published a pre-election environment assessment document[1], and on September 4, it provided a summary of its monitoring findings covering the period from June 1 to August 27. [2]

This monitoring report includes the results of the pre-election period from August 27 to September 30, in addition to a separate event that started developing before August 27 and continued during the monitoring period, and/or the further development of fact(s) identified within the monitoring period. The report reviews several elements of the election administration’s work, the electoral registration process of political parties, the representation of women in registered party lists, the progress of the pre-election campaign, the media environment, electoral disputes, and other key trends identified during the reporting period.

Key findings

Within the framework of ISFED’s observation mission, during the pre-election campaign, from August 27 to September 30, 2024, the following main tendencies were revealed:

  • Since the start of the official pre-election campaign, the anti-Western campaign, inclusive of Euroscepticism and efforts to discredit Georgia’s strategic partners, remains active. Additionally, there was a campaign to exploit the tragedy of the Ukrainian people affected by the war for electoral purposes;
  • In parallel with the enforcement of the law “On Transparency of Foreign Influence”, aimed at undermining civil society, discrediting messages against civil society have now increased in the ruling party’s election campaign. In particular, the ruling party’s campaign materials featured images of non-governmental organizations’ representatives in an offensive and humiliating context.
  • A decision made by the Anti-Corruption Bureau on September 24, 2024, designated Transparency International – Georgia and its Executive Director, Eka Gigauri, as well as the organization Choose Europe, its Director, Khatuna Lagazidze, and the co-founders of the same organization, as individuals with declared electoral goals. According to ISFED’s assessment, this decision involved an unlawful and unjustifiably broad interpretation of the legalstandards, with the Bureau relying on an unfounded ruling from the Tbilisi Court of Appeal just days earlier. The ruling in question had determined that Choose Europe’s activities fell within the scope of declared electoral goals. However, the Bureau later revoked its decision following an appeal by the Prime Minister of Georgia, raising further concerns about the agency’s independence.
  • After the date was set for elections, the recruitment process for district and precinct election commissions began. The selection of temporary members in district election commissions took place in an environment with little competition. At the same time, out of 219 vacant positions, only 10 members were selected with a high quorum (⅔ of the CEC composition), while 209 members were selected by a majority of the full CEC composition, thus excluding the election of district election commission members on the basis of a consensus decision. According to ISFED’s observation, a significant part of the members of the district election commissions elected by the CEC are primarily individuals employed by budgetary organizations;
  • The selection process for professional members of precinct election commissions also took place in a low-competition environment. According to ISFED’s observation, in some cases, the members appointed by opposition parties to the district election commissions were not fully provided with the documentation of candidates participating in the selection process for professional members of precinct election commissions;
  • Members of district election commissions were also not given sufficient time to properly review the competition applications submitted by the candidates for precinct election commissions. In order to select professional members, the district election commissions did not conduct interviews with any candidates, despite some commission members expressing a desire to do so. The deadlines set by the law allowed for this possibility;
  • Heads and members of precinct election commissions were, in most cases, elected by an unqualified majority of the full district election commission composition, as they did not secure the support of ⅔ of the full composition of the commissions in the first vote. Some of the candidates elected as members and heads of precinct election commissions had been subject to disciplinary responsibilities during the general elections held in 2020 and/or 2021. A significant portion of precinct election commission members selected by district election commissions are individuals employed by budgetary organizations. Some of the members of precinct election commissions are also affiliated with the ruling party;
  • Representatives of ISFED observed 98 training sessions held for heads of precinct election commissions across 41 election constituencies. The trainings were generally well organized. Participants received information related to the voting process. Two instances were recorded where members of the Lagodekhi and Isani district election commissions were prevented from attending the training sessions for the heads of their respective precinct election commissions;
  • As a result of ISFED’s observation of mock polling procedures conducted using electronic technologies, a tendency revealed that a notable part of civil servants and individuals employed in budgetary organizations participated in the process, often organized and grouped based on their place of employment to participate in mock elections. In 10 districts, the involvement of coordinators of the “Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia” party was noted, who facilitated transportation and mobilization of groups participating in the mock elections. Cases of registration of citizens were also recorded.
  • According to the CEC decree of August 27, different remuneration was determined for the professional members of the precinct election commission and the members appointed by the party. The election administration is a collegial body where each member of the commission enjoys equal rights. According to ISFED’s assessment, this discriminatory approach harms the effective functioning of the precinct electioncommission and is also inconsistent with the principle of equality guaranteed by basic human rights and freedoms. In addition, over the years, the differentiation introduced and revealed in the activities of party-appointed and professional members of the precinct election commission—through election legislation or by-laws, particularly in terms of the division of duties or functional redistribution—undermines the core principle of staffing in the election administration and the equality of commission members;
  • The issue of citizens living outside the borders of Georgia actively exercising their electoral rights remains a significant challenge. Despite numerous requests from voters and several lawsuits filed by involved stakeholders (including two lawsuits from ISFED) calling for the creation of additional precincts abroad, the court did not satisfy these requests. According to ISFED’s assessment, the Central Election Commission and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs did not demonstrate the necessary will and did not take all measures to establish more polling stations abroad, including in cities where Georgia does not have diplomatic representation, even though over 50 Georgian citizens reside in those areas;
  • Compared to the previous reporting period, there was a significant increase in donations to some opposition parties after the start of the official pre-election period, bringing the financial capabilities of the election campaigns of three political subjects closer to each other. According to data from the Anti-Corruption Bureau, during the first month of the official pre-election period, from August 27 to September 26, the political union “Coalition for Change – Gvaramia Melia Girchi Droa” received 3,792,338 GEL in donations, “Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia” received 3,327,960 GEL, and the union “Strong Georgia – Lelo, for the people, for freedom!” received 2,115,360 GEL. The sum of donations received by other political parties during the period amounted to only 344,072 GEL. This tendency is significantly different from the distribution of election campaign donations in the earlier period, which was marked by a sharp dominant advantage of the ruling party;
  • Along with donations, budget financing is an additional source of income for some political parties. Based on the results of the last parliamentary elections, during the month, “Georgian Dream” received 428,335 GEL, “Unity – National Movement” received 183,302.91 GEL, “European Georgia” received 93,700.75 GEL, “Alliance of Patriots of Georgia” received 86,926.66 GEL, “Yes to Europe – Strategy Agmashenebeli” received 78,327.11 GEL, and other political parties were financed with a total of 191,319.34 GEL;
  • According to the tendency observed by ISFED, in contrast to previous years, while sharing facts, individuals are now noticeably more reluctant to disclose their personal histories or identifying information.
  • During the reporting period, political parties across the country conducted election campaigns, including direct engagement with voters. According to ISFED’s observers, various incidents and violations were recorded that hindered election candidates’ ability to freely conduct these campaigns. Specifically, separate cases of physical violence, disruptions to campaign events, threats and intimidation, a break-in and attempt to damage party offices, arrests of individuals affiliated with political parties, and an alleged voter bribery were documented;
  • The misuse of administrative resources for electoral purposes continues to pose a significant challenge. In this regard, it is important to highlight that there were instances where employees of public institutions were mobilized and required to attend Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia election events, including during working hours. Additionally, ruling party candidates used events funded by local self-government for campaign purposes, and campaign materials were distributed on social media under the name of municipal institutions.
  • The politicization of the education system remains a significant issue for the 2024 parliamentary elections. In the pre-election period, several cases of politically motivated selection and discrimination against individuals employed in educational resource centers and public schools were observed.
  • 19 political unions submitted their electoral lists to the CEC. In the context of the abolition of the mandatory gender quota, the representation of women on some registered party lists has declined. Additionally, in some instances, a significant proportion of women are placed in non-advanced positions on the list. However, it is important to note that despite the removal of the gender quota, some political unions have upheld a minimum 25% representation of women on their full lists;

During the reporting period, according to the CEC, 60 complaints were submitted to the election administration, along with 8 lawsuits filed in court. Of these, 53 complaints and 4 lawsuits were submitted by election candidates, while 7 complaints and 4 lawsuits were submitted by monitoring organizations. Among the reviewed cases, 1 lawsuit remains unreviewed, 2 complaints are still under consideration, and the rest were dismissed. ISFED submitted complaints to the Central Election Commission and relevant District Election Commissions concerning six violations of campaign rules and improper use of administrative resources during the pre-election period. Of these, five complaints were dismissed, and one is still under consideration.

The full report is currently in the process of being translated into English. This page will be updated with the complete English-language version as soon as it becomes available.

(October 10, 2024)
Georgia

REPORT NO. 3 | Observation Mission: presidential elections and republican constitutional referendum October 20, 2024

Promo-LEX Association released today the third report from the Observation Mission (OM) regarding the presidential elections and the constitutional republican referendum scheduled for 20 October. This report includes insights gathered between 18 September and 1 October. The report mainly highlights the commencement of the electoral campaign, the legal framework pertinent to this process, the performance of the electoral competitors, and the efforts of the electoral bodies in preparation for the elections on 20 October.

Main findings

Legal Framework. Promo-LEX OM highlights the lack of a clear legal framework concerning the consolidation of elections, the unique aspects of running electoral campaigns for two simultaneous elections, and the participation of unregistered entities in the campaign for one of these elections. As a result, independent candidates in the presidential elections and initiative groups find themselves at a disadvantage, as the legislation does not provide them with the same rights as political parties or electoral blocs that are registered as competitors in both elections.

Furthermore, while legal regulations have been established to penalize the involvement of religious denominations in the electoral campaign, instances of electoral agitation by their representatives have also been noted in this election. In 2016, the Constitutional Court made it clear that the participation of religious denominations in elections constitutes a violation of the Constitution.

Promo-LEX OM advises representatives of religious denominations to refrain from participating in electoral agitation activities. Additionally, the Police should thoroughly investigate and penalize instances of involvement by religious denominations in such activities.

Electoral Bodies and Public Administration During the monitoring period, the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) made 106 decisions and accredited a total of 527 observers, including 425 national and 102 international observers. At the local level, the district electoral councils (DECs) operated effectively, although there were a few exceptions. Changes to the nominal composition of members were made in three DECs, and several instances of intimidation directed at DEC officials were reported.

A specific issue arose within DEC no. 38, which was responsible for only two of the five electoral bureaus for polling stations established by CEC in the Russian Federation. Note that CEC is the sole authority that can determine the number of polling stations set up abroad in coordination with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA). Promo-LEX OM emphasizes that MFA and DEC no. 38 must adhere to legal requirements and CEC decisions to ensure timely organization of elections abroad.

Electoral Litigation. The section on electoral litigation outlines the complaints lodged with the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) and district electoral councils (DECs) concerning legal violations, including the misuse of administrative resources, donations, the involvement of minors in the campaign, and inappropriate electoral agitation. CEC adhered to the established deadlines for addressing these complaints.

A total of eight lawsuits were filed in court, addressing issues such as the exclusion of political parties from the list of eligible candidates, the establishment of polling stations, and refusals to register individuals as trusted representatives. These cases were adjudicated by the courts within a timeframe of 2 to 10 days, although the legal deadline was exceeded in two instances.

Designation and Registration of Electoral Competitors After verifying signatures, 11 candidates were registered, of whom five were independent, five supported by parties, and one by an electoral bloc. Igor Munteanu was rejected due to the lack of valid signatures. Overall, 14% of the signatures were invalidated, a lower percentage compared to the previous election. Compared to the 2020 presidential election, the total number of candidates increased, and the proportion of female candidates reached 36%.

In the constitutional referendum, 15 participants were registered, most supporting the “YES” option.  Three requests for registration as a participant were rejected on procedural grounds.

Performance of Electoral Competitors In the first ten days of the campaign, Promo-LEX observed at least 792 promotional activities by electoral competitors and for the constitutional referendum. Most of these activities were organized by PAS and Maia Sandu, followed by Alexandr Stoianoglo (PSRM) and Renato Usatîi. Chisinau hosted the highest number of events, accounting for 16%, followed by Balti and other regions. RP/PB Victory organized electoral meetings through private channels and encouraged anti-referendum and anti-EU protests by compensating participants.

Electoral advertising was identified in at least 1,404 instances, with the predominant formats being visibility materials and printed informational brochures. PAS and Maia Sandu led in the use of electoral advertising as well. Additionally, 32 instances of administrative resource abuse were reported, primarily targeting PAS and Maia Sandu (PAS). Other issues included the organized transportation of voters to electoral events, the involvement of religious groups, and acts of voter bribery.

During the monitoring period, reports emerged of goods and food being offered in exchange for voter attendance at electoral events, specifically targeting PB Victory.

Allegations of intimidation against competitors were also noted. Two representatives from PCRM were apprehended while handing out flyers advocating for the “NO” option in the referendum, which were confiscated without adequate explanations. Additionally, candidate Irina Vlah was denied access to a campaign venue by law enforcement officials.

Election and Campaign Financing. The candidates for presidential elections reported a total revenue of nearly 13 million lei during 20 and 30 September 2024, with the majority coming from political party funds. Maia Sandu, Alexandr Stoianoglo, and Renato Usatîi accounted for 89% of the total revenues reported. For the referendum, only PAS disclosed revenues, which were sourced from state budget allocations and donations.

Total reported expenditures surpassed 8.3 million lei, with 90% attributed to three candidates: Maia Sandu, Renato Usatîi, and Alexandr Stoianoglo. The largest expenses were mainly for promotional materials, as well as the production and airing of advertising spots. For the referendum, PAS reported expenditures exceeding 1.2 million lei, primarily for promotional materials and the organization of electoral activities.

Civic monitoring conducted by Promo-LEX identified inconsistencies between the estimated and declared expenses of electoral competitors. Observers calculated costs for various activities, including volunteer compensation, promotional materials, and online advertising, based on minimum market prices.

In the presidential campaign, undeclared expenses were estimated to exceed 2.2 million lei, with the majority (88%) allocated to promotional materials. Additionally, discrepancies were noted regarding the compensation of agitators, event organization, and transportation. Candidates with the highest undeclared expenses were Alexandr Stoianoglo (PSRM), Vasile Tarlev (FMP), and Irina Vlah (IC).

In the context of the constitutional referendum, undeclared expenses reached over 1.1 million lei. These expenses primarily targeted promotional materials (50%), social media advertising (23%), and other related costs. The participants in the referendum for whom these expenses were assessed included RP/PB Victory, PCRM, PAS, and MAN.

Hate Speech and Incitement to Discrimination. Between 9 and 22 September 2024, at least 14 instances of hate speech were documented, with the majority occurring in political and electoral contexts. Among these, six cases were directly linked to the elections, garnering over 134,000 views and 368 shares. Discriminatory incidents were also noted, including negative associations made between politicians and mental health issues, as well as sexist and homophobic messages.

The Observation Mission is financially supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the European Union, the German Marshall Fund of the United States, the Government of the United Kingdom, the International Organization of La Francophonie, and the Soros Foundation Moldova. This mission is conducted under the auspices of the Civic Coalition for Free and Fair Elections.

(October 4, 2024)
Moldova

Unofficial Pre-Election Campaign Monitoring Report for the 2024 Parliamentary Elections

Parliamentary elections in Georgia are scheduled for October 26, 2024. In accordance with the legislation of Georgia, the official pre-election period began 60 days before the election day – August 27; however, the International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (hereinafter ISFED) began monitoring the pre-election processes across the entire country, inclusive of 73 electoral districts, earlier on June 1, 2024. On June 25, ISFED published a document assessing the pre-election environment.

This report covers monitoring results of election processes from June 1 to the start of the official pre-election period August 27. It reviews the current political context, various aspects of the election administration, the registration process for political parties, the progression of the unofficial campaign period, the media environment, and other key trends observed during the pre-election period.

(September 25, 2024)
Georgia

REPORT NO. 2 | Observation Mission: presidential elections and republican constitutional referendum October 20, 2024

The Promo-LEX Observation Mission for the Presidential Elections and the Republican Constitutional Referendum released today its second monitoring report covering the period 20 August – 17 September.

The report mainly reflects the process of nominating and registering electoral competitors, the legal framework relevant to this process, the performance of electoral competitors, as well as the work of electoral bodies in preparation for the presidential elections and the referendum on October 20.

Main findings

Legal framework. The Observation Mission (OM) report highlighted an important aspect related to the participation of the incumbent President in the 20 October election. The Constitutional Court had previously emphasized that the President must be apolitical, and the nomination of Maia Sandu by PAS raised questions about her neutrality. Given the impossibility of suspending the incumbent President from office for the period of the electoral campaign, Promo-LEX OM recommends that the President should refrain from participating in official public events that could be perceived as electoral campaigning activities and should minimize the use of administrative resources during the electoral campaign.

Promo-LEX OM also raised concerns over the refusal of the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) to register some initiative groups, citing reasons such as political affiliation of candidates. Although CEC claims that political independence is a prerequisite for running as an independent candidate, the legislation does not expressly regulate such a ground for refusing registration of initiative groups. Promo-LEX recommends clarifying these issues in order to ensure transparency and predictability of the electoral process.

Electoral bodies. The electoral councils were set up within the deadline provided for by the legislation. For the majority of councils (95%), 11 members were appointed. The gender equality is uneven, with the majority of members being women (71%). According to the findings, only 17 out of 37 councils are accessible to people from vulnerable groups. Moreover, three councils (ECEC no. 36 ATUG, no. 37 – for localities on the left bank of the Dniester and no. 38 – for polling stations constituted abroad) did not have adequate premises for carrying out their activities one week after their establishment.

In total, 2,221 polling stations were set up for the autumn election, including 30 polling stations for voters from the left bank of the Dniester and 234 polling stations for voters from abroad set up by CEC in accordance with the provisions of the Electoral Code. Promo-LEX OM observers found that most polling stations (81%) were located in houses of culture and educational institutions, including pre-schools.

The organisation of polling stations abroad was carried out according to a legal framework established by the Electoral Code and CEC regulations. The main criterion for establishing polling stations is voter turnout in the last three elections, with other complementary criteria such as pre-registration and information provided by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. A novelty in the electoral legislation for diaspora voting is the introduction of postal voting, with 1,994 citizens registered for this type of voting. CEC approved three polling stations for postal voting.

Promo-LEX has noted some differences between its estimates for the distribution of polling stations abroad and those established by CEC, in particular for Italy and the UK.

As regards the organisation of polling stations for the left bank of the Dniester, even if the number of polling stations has been reduced from 41 (2021) to 30, we believe that access to voting will generally not be affected. One issue remains the freedom to vote, as previous observation experience has shown that one of the main challenges is to counter and sanction organized transportation of voters, as well as possible cases of corruption.

Electoral disputes. During the observation period, Promo-LEX noted that at least eight complaints were submitted to the CEC, most of which were declared inadmissible. A number of complaints concerned allegations of use of administrative resources, electoral campaigning and others. Promo-LEX warns that it is necessary that the resolution of complaints should be carried out within the deadline stipulated by the Electoral Code (3 days, with the possibility of extension by 2 days) and that the complainants should be informed about the remedies available.

During the monitored period, four complaints were filed in court against CEC decisions. Three of them were rejected and in one case the court obliged CEC to issue a reasoned decision.

Nomination and registration of electoral competitors. Between 21-31 August 2024, the Central Electoral Commission received 23 applications for the registration of initiative groups (IGs) in support of 19 presidential candidates, of which 13 were accepted. Three applications were rejected and two did not receive the required number of votes.

Out of the 13 IGs to which subscription lists were issued, 9 candidates submitted their subscription lists and registration files to the CEC, out of which 4 were registered as electoral competitors. CEC received 14 applications for registration as participants in the Constitutional Referendum, registering 10 participants, out of which 8 chose YES and 2 NO.

Performance of electoral competitors. Promo-LEX observed that 12 out of 13 registered IGs carried out 475 activities to collect signatures in support of presidential candidates, with the highest activity in the case of Ion Chicu (PDCM), Renato Usatii (NP (OP)) and Maia Sandu (PAS) – who cumulatively carried out 71% of the total observed activities. No signature collection activities were observed for IG Victoria Furtună (IC).

The activities took place predominantly in Chisinau, but also in other cities (Balti, Dondușeni, Ialoveni, Causeni), and the collection period ranged from 3 to 24 days. Promo-LEX observers found that in the case of at least three candidates, signatures were collected by unauthorized persons.

In the context of the constitutional referendum, the electoral campaign seems to have started ahead of schedule, in violation of the legal provisions, with multiple promotional activities with electoral overtones, including sponsored postings and distribution of information materials. Moreover, violations were identified, such as the lack of complete information on advertising materials.

Misuse of administrative resources. Promo-LEX identified 13 cases of misuse of administrative resources by various political groups and local authorities. Among them, PAS was targeted in 8 cases related to signature collection and EU promotion, BE Împreună (EB Together) and BP Victorie (PB Victory) were involved in using educational resources and organising events serving political purposes, as well as presenting donations as being made by the party. PDCM and LPA were also cited for misuse of administrative resources in the process of collecting signatures and promoting political speeches, respectively.

Activities with voter corruption potential. During the monitored period, activities with voter corruption potential involving PB Victory and PVM (Party for Moldova’s Future) were observed. PB Victory distributed school bags and school supplies to students from socially vulnerable families and provided wheelchairs to some individuals, with reported cases of promises of money against signatures. The PVM was also involved in collecting signatures through unauthorized persons who were allegedly paid for these services.

Election and electoral campaign financing. Most of the IGs have appointed treasurers and reported the opening of the „Electoral Fund” accounts, with the exception of IGs Alexandru Arseni (IC) and Alexandr Stoianoglo (PSRM). Some IGs encountered difficulties in opening accounts thus affecting their activity. In terms of financial reporting, most of the IGs submitted information on financing, albeit with some errors, meeting deadlines. However, irregularities were found in the reporting of expenses. 12 out of 13 registered IGs reported revenues totalling 2,009,727 MDL, of which 292,076 MDL – from material donations (15% of total declared revenues).

For the signature collection activities carried out by 11 IGs, Promo-LEX estimated unreported expenses of at least 580,321 MDL. The highest unreported expenses were in the case of IG Irina Vlah (IC) – 43%, followed by IG Maia Sandu (PAS) – 23%. The most frequent unreported expenses were for promotional materials (52%).

Hate speech. Between 20 August and 8 September 2024, at least 40 cases of hate speech and other expressions of intolerance were identified. Most cases were spread via social media (19 cases) and mobile apps (10 cases). Most often, hate speech was based on political affiliation (12 cases), sexual orientation/gender identity (8 cases) and sex/gender (6 cases).

All 40 cases of hate speech had over 3 million views and more than 23 thousand shares.

The Observation Mission is financially supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the European Union and the German Marshall Fund of the USA, the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, the International Organization of Francophonie, and Soros Foundation Moldova. The Observation Mission is carried out under the aegis of the Civic Coalition for Free and Fair Elections.

(September 20, 2024)
Moldova

NEC’s rejection of Law and Justice party’s financial report: Implications and what to expect next

The National Electoral Commission (Państwowa Komisja Wyborcza, NEC) has made a significant decision, rejecting the Law and Justice (PiS) party’s electoral report due to unlawful campaign spending amounting to PLN 3.6 million during the 2023 elections. This decision has led to the withdrawal of over PLN 10 million in grants and subventions, roughly one-third of what the party would have received. In response, PiS plans to appeal to the Supreme Court, although the legitimacy of the court’s chamber hearing the case is undermined by the CJEU jurisprudence due to concerns about the rule of law and its independence. Meanwhile, the NEC continues to audit PiS’s financial reports, with the party potentially losing all state subventions if violations are confirmed.

About the author

Krzysztof Izdebski is a legal and political expert specializing in public administration, access to public information, and the impact of technology on democracy. He is a Member of the Board at the Stefan Batory Foundation, co-leads the Open Spending EU Coalition, and is a member of the OECD network for innovative civic participation. A recognized authority on corruption prevention and government transparency, Krzysztof has authored numerous publications on these topics. In 2020, he was named one of Poland’s 50 most influential lawyers by Dziennik Gazeta Prawna.

(September 10, 2024)
Poland

On the Results of the Snap Parliamentary Elections on September 1, 2024

EPDE monitored the snap parliamentary elections scheduled for September 1, 2024, in a long-term manner, including the nomination of candidates, pre-election campaigning, voting on election day, and the counting of votes.

The monitoring of the snap parliamentary elections scheduled for September 1, 2024, is based on observations conducted by EPDE experts, including official reports and documents, open sources, and information collected from candidates and registered and unregistered observers.

(September 10, 2024)
Azerbaijan

Moldova’s Presidential Elections under a New Electoral Code

On 20 October 2024, the Republic of Moldova will conduct its presidential elections alongside a Constitutional Referendum. This will be the second elections under the new Electoral Code, effective January 1, 2023, which has updated and streamlined electoral practices to meet international standards.
In the latest Moldova Policy Alert, Petru Culeac provides insights into the reasons behind the electoral law reform, the changes to the Central Electoral Commission (CEC) and District Electoral Commissions (DEC), campaign financing, voter participation, and the potential political risks.

About the author

Petru Culeac is the co-founder and Executive Director of the Moldova Development Institute, a newly established organization dedicated to improving the social, political, and economic landscape in Moldova. With over 15 years of experience in Moldova’s non-pro!it sector, Petru has an in-depth understanding of the country’s context and its development agenda as well as extensive organizational management experience. Until 2023, Petru served as Executive Director of Soros Foundation Moldova, a renowned non-pro!it foundation, part of the Open Society Foundations network, recognized as a key civil society actor in the Republic of Moldova. Under Petru’s leadership, the foundation expanded its portfolio and successfully implemented numerous technical assistance projects, including for Moldovan authorities in areas such as anti-corruption, justice reform, elections, and education, as well as emergency response projects at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. Previously, Petru worked in areas of democracy promotion, free and fair elections, local development, citizen engagement, and youth activism, successfully cooperating with local and international organizations, such as USAID, Chemonics, East Europe Foundation, and IFC. Petru’s academic background includes degrees in Business Management, and European and International Studies from institutions in Moldova, France, and the United States.

(September 4, 2024)
Moldova

REPORT NO.1 of the Observation Mission to the presidential elections and republican constitutional referendum

Promo-LEX presented the first report of its observation mission to the presidential elections and republican constitutional referendum set to take place on 20 October 2024. In the report, Promo-LEX analyzes the social and political background, legal framework, preparations for the presidential election and the constitutional referendum of 20 October, as well as other issues characteristic to the pre-election period.

Main findings

Political background. The Republic of Moldova is a parliamentary republic, but the President of the state is elected by universal suffrage. Although the powers of the President are limited, electoral competition for this position has a high potential to mobilize the electorate. Among the national public authorities, the President of the state enjoys the highest trust, surpassing the Parliament and the Government. 

The pre-election period was characterized by internal political stability, the Presidency, the Parliament and the Government being represented by persons appointed by the same party, the Action and Solidarity Party (PAS). 

The relationship between power and opposition is complicated, the actions of the parties being more divergent than convergent, both in the Parliament and outside it. The party system in Moldova is competitive. The 2024 presidential election seems to be treated by contenders as an opportunity to prepare for the parliamentary elections of 2025. The risks of electoral corruption remain a threat to the state. 

The geopolitical agenda will most likely surpass topics of domestic policy during the campaign, especially in the context of simultaneous organization of the constitutional referendum regarding the European integration of Moldova. The referendum on European integration will take place in a society divided on geopolitical vector issues, where the prevailing public opinion is, however, favorable to the idea of joining the EU. 

Legal framework. The election of 20 October 2024 is held on the basis of the Electoral Code that came into force on 1 January 2023. However, more than 20 articles of the Code were amended in the period of one year before the election. Even if it does not affect in a legal sense the principle of stability of electoral law, we believe that confidence in elections can be undermined by multiple changes, with a lack of decision-making transparency and in the absence of a broad political consensus on important matters. 

Changes with the greatest impact for the election of 20 October 2024 were the regulation of the possibility of holding presidential election simultaneously with the republican referendum and the implementation of postal voting. 

Related legislation was also amended, in particular, the Contravention Code. Those amendments mostly introduced new fines or increased existing ones for various violations of electoral procedures. 

In 2024, the Constitutional Court twice declared provisions of the Electoral Code unconstitutional, the ones on limiting the right to be elected and on the media coverage of elections. 

Electoral bodies. The organization of the election was carried out in accordance with the actions planned in the calendar program approved by the Central Electoral Commission (CEC). At the same time, at the beginning of the election period, the CEC did not have an approved calendar plan of activities for the implementation of postal voting. 

Unlike the period of organization for the 2023 general local elections, since the beginning of the election period for the ballots of 20 October 2024, the CEC operates in full composition, and its staff is not affected by lack of officials. 

The CEC did not approve all the regulations and instructions relevant to the organization and conduct of the ballots of 20 October 2024 before the beginning of the election period. The coverage of the public consultation process on the CEC’s specialized webpage is not complete. 

The campaign for certification of potential electoral officials organized by the Center for Continuous Electoral Training (CICDE) was broad and seems to have ensured a sufficient number of future members of electoral bodies. 

State Register of Voters. The CEC periodically ensures transparency of data regarding the number of voters in the State Register of Voters (SRV). 

Looking at the dynamics of data in the Register, we find that compared to the previous presidential election, at a distance of four years, there are 14,726 more voters in the SRV. Against the background of negative natural increase for more than two decades, the increase in the number of voters is a process that raises questions about the quality of data in the SRV. The Promo-LEX OM believes that for a plenary provision of information on the situation, respectively in order to prevent possible attempts to misinform society about the quality of voter lists, the CEC, together with the Public Services Agency (PSA), must explain in detail the cause of the respective dynamics. 

Potential electoral competitors. Given the intention shown by at least 17 potential candidates to register, this could be the most competitive presidential election. As for the referendum campaign, we are also seeing a plurality of options shown by competitors. In addition, in the context of the constitutional referendum, the number of information campaigns on the advantages of joining the EU has significantly increased. 

According to the Promo-LEX OM, promotion activities with electoral implications in the context of the presidential election have been observed in the case of at least eight potential candidates, and in five subjects such activities concerned the referendum. 

Use of administrative resources. Between 8 July and 18 August 2024, the Government of Moldova conducted the information campaign “Europe for You”. The Promo-LEX OM found that this campaign had been planned and promoted from public money after the announcement of the election date, being implemented also during the election period, which can be interpreted as having the purpose of attracting political capital in support of the referendum. In this context, Promo-LEX reiterates the recommendation that such practices should be banned even outside the election period. 

Activities with the potential to corrupt voters. The Promo-LEX OM found two projects with potential for electoral corruption, coordinated by Ilan Shor, which, through their impact, can affect voters’ freedom to form their opinion in the election. One of them is the initiative to pay allowances of 2,000 MDL through the Russian bank Promsvyazbank to pensioners from certain regions of the country. The other project, GagauziyaLand, was opened on 18 August, with the promise that the entrance and all attractions for children and adults would be free. 

Observation of the financing of electoral activities. This Promo-LEX OM will again observe the financing of the electoral competitors’ activities. The methodology involves identifying and estimating campaign expenses and comparing them with the information reported to the CEC. The competitors’ electoral campaign will be monitored separately from that of the participants in the referendum. An important objective is also to monitor the activity of the CEC as a body of supervision and control. In the case of the CEC, the approval of amendments to the regulatory framework after the adoption of the calendar program created certain collisions of provisions. 

Hate speech. The CEC and the Audiovisual Council (AC) continued the development of the internal regulatory and methodological framework for the regulation and monitoring of hate speech in elections. In this respect, the CEC approved the particularities of media coverage of the election of 20 October 2024, and the Council, in June 2024, amended and approved the methodology for monitoring electoral audiovisual programs. 

Given the recorded trends, but also the data on cases of hate speech and/or incitement to discrimination documented by the police in the electoral campaign in autumn 2023, the monitoring of hate speech remains a necessity in order to analyze and assess the degree of use of this type of speech and its sanctioning.

The Observation Mission is financially supported by the United States Agency for International Development (USAID), the European Union and the German Marshall Fund of the USA, the Government of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, the International Organization of Francophonie, and Soros Foundation Moldova. The Observation Mission is carried out under the aegis of the Civic Coalition for Free and Fair Elections.

(August 20, 2024)
Moldova

EPDE Observations on Pre-Election Environment for September 1, 2024, Snap Parliamentary Elections in Azerbaijan

EPDE notes that although the snap parliamentary election on September 1, falls six months after the last presidential election, there has been no political will demonstrated by the Azerbaijani authorities to improve election legislation and practices, or to address election complaints.

The report covers the preliminary phase of the snap parliamentary elections scheduled for September 1, 2024, including candidate nominations and registration, as well as the state of human rights during the pre-election period.

Summary

EPDE regretfully reports that in the lead-up to the snap parliamentary election on September 1, 2024, the crisis in protecting political freedoms in the country has deepened. Restrictions on freedom of expression, assembly, and association have not been lifted; rather, politically motivated arrests have increased in  an unprecendent scale. There have been growing bans on the activities of independent civil society organizations and independent media, as well as increased harassment of journalists, human rights defenders and public activists.

In particular, Anar Mammadli, the head of the country’s largest and only election monitoring organization, who was active in observing the February 7, 2024, presidential elections and providing the public with alternative reports and information, has been arrested. Prior to this, Abzas Media, which covered the elections, as well as employees of Toplum Tv (March 6, 2024) and the head of Majlis.info, Imran Aliyev, were also arrested on fabricated charges.

More than 30 civil society activists (human rights defenders, journalists, public activists) have been forced to leave the country. Many of other activists have been banned from leaving the country. They have been coerced into cooperating with investigations through various forms of pressure.

Unlike the last snap parliamentary elections held in 2020, there has been a noticeable lack of activity from political parties and independent candidates in the upcoming elections. Almost none of the independent candidates from previous elections have participated in this election cycle. The largest party in the country, the Azerbaijan Popular Front Party (APFP), has boycotted the elections. The Musavat Party has decided to participate with a limited number of representatives but has not put forward its leaders as candidates. The leaders of the Umid Party, the Azerbaijan Democratic Party (ADP), the Citizen Solidarity Party, and the Unity Party have expressed their unwillingness to participate in the elections.

There has been no democratic environment for active participation of civil society organizations and political parties in the snap parliamentary elections on September 1. The level of activity observed during the last parliamentary elections in February 2020 has not been recorded. While 1,637 candidates were registered at that time, as of August 8, 2024, the official data indicates that the number of registered candidates has been 1030.

Many independent groups that participated as candidates and observers in previous elections have shown no interest in participating in this election due to pressure. As a result, the essential conditions for a free and fair election, namely political alternatives and a pluralistic environment, have not been ensured.

After the snap parliamentary elections were announced, Azerbaijan invited various international organizations to observe, but notably excluded the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe (PACE), continuing a trend seen in previous elections.

While 228 international observers were accredited, the involvement of independent civil society organizations was severely restricted, with key figures like Anar Mammadli of the EMDS being arrested and other observers facing intimidation and threats. Local observers, though accredited, are viewed with skepticism due to their perceived alignment with government interests and unclear methodologies, raising concerns about the fairness and transparency of the election monitoring process.

The EPDE considers the pre-election environment ahead of the September 1, 2024 parliamentary elections to be falling short of democratic standards, and calls on Azerbaijani authorities to demonstrate political will to resolve the ongoing political crisis and hold free and fair elections.

(August 16, 2024)
Azerbaijan

Final observation report on the 2024 local and European Parliament elections in Romania

The 9 June elections presented multiple electoral choices, but competitiveness was reduced by the coalition of the main ruling parties. Changes in electoral legislation very shortly before the elections disadvantaged some of the contestants and reduced the transparency of the process. Authorities were largely efficient in organizing the process, but the complex and contested procedures related to vote counting and tabulation undermined public confidence in the process.

Read the full report on findings and thorough catalogue of recommendations in the full report below.

Methodology

The report is based on data from the electoral authorities (including results), meetings with different stakeholders, FOIA requests and input from observers. At the beginning of the electoral period, the Vot Corect team requested meetings with the main institutions involved in the organization of the elections and other participants in the electoral process. Although Vot Corect requested, in line with the law, to observe the meetings of the Central Technical Commission that coordinates the process of organizing the elections, they did not receive any response from the Ministry of Interior, which holds the secretariat of the commission. Vot Corect observers were not allowed to observe the meetings of the CEB or the verification of the supporting signatures by the CEB and Bucharest electoral commissions.

(July 31, 2024)
Romania

ISFED shares findings on Georgia’s 2024 parliamentary elections pre-election environment

The International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (ISFED) has released a comprehensive assessment of the pre-election environment ahead of Georgia’s pivotal 2024 parliamentary elections. This report highlights significant developments and challenges that shape the electoral process in Georgia.

Key findings
  1. EU Membership Candidate Status:
    • The elections will be conducted under the status of an EU membership candidate country. Free, fair, and competitive elections are crucial in meeting one of the nine recommendations from the European Commission for Georgia to advance on the path to European integration.
  2. Legislative Changes:
    • Significant amendments to electoral legislation include the elimination of gender quotas and the introduction of a fully proportional system for electing MPs. However, these changes have not fully incorporated recommendations from the Venice Commission and OSCE/ODIHR, as set out in the EU recommendations​​.
    • In May 2024, the parliamentary majority introduced the institution of Delegates. Under these changes, a political party can nominate a candidate as a delegate for one of the 30 defined districts outlined in the election code. If elected, the nominated member becomes the delegate of that district, provided their party receives the highest number of votes in that specific district. ISFED views this amendment as contradictory to the fundamental principle of a fully proportional system outlined in Georgia’s Constitution, which envisages a single multi-mandate electoral district. 
    • The composition of Georgia’s Central Election Commission (CEC) has seen multiple changes recently. In March 2024, the responsibility to select and present candidates for the CEC chairperson and non-party members shifted from the President to the Speaker of the Parliament, eliminating the opposition-appointed deputy chairperson role, contrary to recommendations from the Venice Commission, OSCE/ODIHR, and local election observers.
    • In 2023, the responsibility for monitoring political party finance was transferred from the State Audit Office to the Anti-Corruption Bureau (ACB). However, the institutional independence of the ACB is questionable, primarily because its head is appointed by Prime Minister for a term of six years instead of a qualified majority vote in parliament.
  3. Law on Transparency of Foreign Influence:
    • The controversial adoption of the Law on Transparency of Foreign Influence in May 2024, despite significant opposition from local and international bodies, threatens the existence of domestic election observation organizations. This law, viewed as a tool to stifle civil society and media, has already led to U.S. sanctions against key Georgian officials​.
  4. Technological Innovations:
    • The introduction of electronic voting technologies is a notable development. While these technologies promise to enhance the electoral process, their successful implementation depends on robust political will and readiness for such a transition​.
  5. Political Party Dynamics:
    • The political landscape is marked by fragmentation and new alliances, with significant internal shifts within major parties like the United National Movement. The high electoral threshold has prompted discussions of forming political unions, indicating a fluid and dynamic pre-election period​.
  6. Anti-Western Sentiment and increased polarization:
    • A rise in anti-Western and Euroskeptic messaging has been observed, with the ruling party challenging Georgia’s traditionally pro-European stance. This shift has introduced new tensions and uncertainties within the political landscape​.
    • Social media in Georgia is also highly polarized. Alongside the election campaign, various actors, including anonymous networks linked to the Government, are utilizing social media platforms for the spread of discrediting content. Russia’s potential intervention in the election campaign using anonymous networks poses a significant challenge. There have already been signs indicating such interference.

ISFED plans to deploy up to 1.400 observers across Georgia on election day to ensure thorough coverage. ISFED’s monitoring methodology adheres strictly to the Declaration of Global Principles for Nonpartisan Election Observation and Monitoring by Citizen Organizations, as well as the Code of Conduct to which ISFED is a signatory.

About ISFED: The International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (ISFED) is a leading Georgian civil society organization dedicated to ensuring free and fair elections through comprehensive monitoring and advocacy. With support from international partners, ISFED strives to uphold democratic standards and promote political pluralism in Georgia.

(July 22, 2024)
Georgia

Implementation of Strategic Plans of the Central Electoral Commission and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training in Moldova

Today, 11 July 2024, Promo-LEX presented its report entitled “Implementation of Strategic Plans of the Central Electoral Commission and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training” (Annual assessment: 2023 and Summing-up report: 2020 – 2023). The report presents an analysis of the development priorities and activities scheduled by CEC and CICDE for the monitored period.

CEC and CICDE’s 2023 achievements

In 2023 CEC committed to achieve 44 tasks related to 20 strategic activities. According to the Promo-LEX assessment, the electoral authority managed to achieve only 36% (16 out of 44) of all planned tasks, while 34% (15 out of 44) were partially achieved and 30% (13 out of 44) remained unachieved. The main achievements include amended regulatory framework, funding supervision and control for political parties and pre-election campaigns, renewed technical equipment to be used by electoral bodies, and election-related training of judges, prosecutors and journalists. However, CEC was challenged by publishing data on the funding of political parties and pre-election campaigns, the functioning of the financial control system and the creation of a voter profile.

As for CICDE, in 2023 the institution committed to achieve 40 tasks related to 16 strategic activities. Promo-LEX estimated that CICDE achieved 88% (35 out of 40) of all planned tasks, while 7% (3 out of 40) were partially achieved and 5% (2 out of 40) remained unachieved. CICDE’s main achievements include diversified partnerships and attracted external funds, as well as promotion of electoral education in schools and universities. However, CICDE had some challenges in having the training courses accredited and retaining experienced trainers.

Degree of CEC and CICDE’s entire strategic plan implementation (2020-2023)

In 2020-2023, CEC obtained the following results: 42% (39 out of 94) of all planned tasks were achieved, while 36% (34 out of 94) were partially achieved and 22% (21 out of 94) remained unachieved. CEC’s main achievements included optimized work processes and established sanctions for violating party funding rules. During the same period, CICDE achieved 91% (62 out of 68) of all planned tasks, while 8% (5 out of 68) were partially achieved and 1% (1 out of 68) remained unachieved. CICDE’s main achievements included electoral education integrated in schools and universities and an improved remote learning platform.

“As for CEC’s activity, certain challenges were identified that prevented the implementation of the Strategic Plan. Here we should mention that the elections were organized and carried out under new provisions, companies were identified that could develop software applications, and the implementation of some activities within the Strategic Plan was not within the institution’s competence. CEC’s results are moderate, despite the considerable effort that has been made. Thus, 44% of the tasks were taken and included in the new Strategic Plan 2024-2027. CICDE also faced certain challenges, among them the amended electoral legislation and the limited availability of experienced trainers. CICDE obtained very good results, having achieved 91% of the proposed tasks”, stated Mariana Dobrovolschi, electoral analyst, Promo-LEX.

Recommendations

Having monitored how CEC and CICDE’s 2020-2023 activities were implemented, Promo-LEX Association formulated several recommendations, such as:

  • Include major activities of strategic value in Strategic Plans;
  • Monitor on a regular basis the implementation of activities and assess the results achieved;
  • Adjust annual Strategic Plans;
  • Maintain constant collaboration with public authorities, civil society organizations and development partners;
  • Continue efforts to accomplish unachieved and partially achieved tasks.

“This report concludes the effort to monitor the Strategic Plans of the Central Electoral Commission and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training for 2020-2023. The Central Election Commission and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training have already approved strategic programs for the next period of 2024-2027. In this regard as well, our recommendations focus on the way to formulate tasks, objectives, activities and indicators, as well as on the way to implement them”, said Mihaela Duca-Anghelici, head of the analysis and research team, Promo-LEX.

The summary report “Implementation of Strategic Plans of the Central Electoral Commission and the Centre for Continuous Electoral Training” (Annual assessment: 2023 and Summing-up report: 2020 – 2023) can be accessed in English, Russian, Romanian here.

(July 12, 2024)
Moldova

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