The International Society for Fair Elections and Democracy (ISFED) monitored the October 31, 2020 Parliamentary Elections in all electoral districts around Georgia. ISFED Election Day Observation Mission consisted of around 1000 accredited and trained observers deployed to polling stations, 73 observers deployed at district electoral commissions and 78 mobile groups. ISFED also operated PVT and Incident Centers in the central office with 20 operators and 11 lawyers. The elections tool place during a global pandemic: COVID-19. ISFED staff and observers were following the safety guidelines as necessitated by COVID-19 while they conducted their observation duties.
ISFED’s Election Day observation of the Parliamentary Elections is based on the Parallel Vote Tabulation (PVT) methodology, where PVT observers are deployed to a statistically sound, nationally representative sample of polling stations throughout the country. The PVT methodology enabled ISFED to quickly detect violations, systematically evaluate the quality of the entire Election Day process, and verify the accuracy official results of the proportional race within a small margin of error.
In this statement, ISFED presents its final assessment of the voting process and the PVT results.
Key findings
According to information obtained through the PVT methodology, ISFED concludes that in the vote tabulation process there was a tendency of mismatches in the summary protocols, when the number of ballot papers cast exceeded the number of signatures in voters lists, which represents a violation. Additionally, at certain polling stations the mismatch was significantly higher than individual cases. Such violations were reported at 8% of polling stations. A tendency of this scale has not been documented in the past years, and hence, this requires particular attention. Although such tendency could have had certain influence on the results of electoral subjects, the PVT analysis shows that its maximum impact on election results would be less than 4.1%. This tendency endangers trust towards the electoral process, and requires immediate reaction from the electoral administration.
We believe that in order to increase trust towards the electoral process, before announcing the final results, the election administration should recount the results of those polling stations, where there are more ballots in the summary protocol. We think that in the interest of transparency, representatives of electoral subjects, political parties, international organizations and local non-governmental organizations should be invited at the vote recount process.
Along with the tendency of vote mismatch, there were attempts by commission members at some polling stations, not to hand out properly validated copies of summary protocols to ISFED observers, citing primarily technical difficulties or absence of respective equipment. Pressure on and interference in the work of observers was a significant violation as well. At some polling stations, there also were procedural violations in the vote counting process.
ISFED observers filed 94 complaints at Precinct Election Commissions, 106 complaints at District Election Commissions and 37 entries in the record book.
Detailed information from the PVT
According to the information submitted by ISFED observers, final voter turnout was 56.7% with a margin of error of +/-0.6%, which is higher than the 2016 parliamentary election when the turnout was 52.9%.
Voter turnout in Tbilisi is 55.4%, which is higher compared to the 2016 Parliamentary elections (49.9%). In the regions (excluding Tbilisi), voter turnout is 57.2%, which is higher compared to 2016 elections (52.3%).
At 99.8% of polling stations, no unauthorized persons were present during the counting process, which is an almost identical figure as in the 2016 parliamentary elections (99.9%).
At 4.4% of polling stations, no party representatives were present. There were Georgian Dream representatives at 90.4% of polling stations, while UNM representatives were present at 87.15% of polling stations. A party representative for the Alliance of the Patriots of Georgia was present in 54.4% of polling stations. A party representative for Lelo was present in 62.1% of polling stations. In 69.0% of polling stations, a party representative for European Georgia was present. In 11.6% of polling stations, a party representative for Georgian March was present.
At 42.0% of polling stations, one or more complaints were filed.
At 99.4% of polling stations, in the vote tabulation process, functions were assigned in compliance with procedures of casting of lots.
At 99.3% of polling stations, procedures of vote tabulation and announcement of results were carried out transparently.
From 17:00 to 20:00, COVID-19 regulations were upheld at 98.3% of polling stations.
Results
Based on the information received in the course of the Election Day, ISFED is confident in the PVT results. ISFED received information from 96.1% of its observers.
Below are the list of parties/candidates that cleared the 1% threshold. The table also includes maximum and minimum results for each of the electoral subjects (with 95% confidence interval).
Party |
Calculated result |
Margin of error |
Minimum results |
Maximum results |
#41 Georgian Dream – Democratic Georgia |
45.8% |
0.7% |
45.1% |
46.5% |
#5 United National Movement |
26.4% |
0.6% |
25.8% |
27.0% |
#2 Bakradze, Ugulava, Bokeria – European Georgia |
3.7% |
0.2% |
3.5% |
3.9% |
#8 Davit Tarkhan-Mouravi, Irma Inashvili – Alliance of Patriots |
3.1% |
0.1% |
3.0% |
3.2% |
#56 Lelo – Mamuka Khazaradze |
3.1% |
0.2% |
2.9% |
3.3% |
#27 Vashadze – Strategy Aghmashenebeli |
3.0% |
0.1% |
2.9% |
3.1% |
#36 Girchi |
2.8% |
0.2% |
2.6% |
3.0% |
#24 Aleko Elisashvili – Citizens |
1.3% |
0.1% |
1.2% |
1.4% |
#10 Shalva Natelashvili – Labor Party |
1.0% |
0.1% |
0.9% |
1.1% |
#3 Nino Burjanadze – United Georgia |
0.9% |
0.1% |
0.8% |
1.0% |
It is worth noting that the percentage of votes received by #10 Shalva Natelashvili – Labor Party fluctuates between 0.9% and 1.1%, while the percentage of voters obtained by Nino Burjanadze – United Georgia is hovers between 0.8% and 1.0%. Therefore, ISFED cannot definitively claim that the two parties cleared the 1% threshold.
The percentage of invalid ballots across the country accounted for 3.5% (with 0.1% margin of error), which is higher than the corresponding figure for the 2016 elections (3.2%).
Violations
ISFED observers have reported following violations:
Pressuring observers and restriction of their rights
Mismatch in summary protocols
Failure to hand out summary protocols
Correction of summary protocols
Insufficient validation information on summary protocols
Inaccurate filling in of summary protocols
Unjustified annulment of ballots
Violations related to voters list
Improper validation of electoral documentation
Procedural violation in vote tabulation
Below you may watch a recording with English interpretation of ISFED’s press briefing presenting their observation findings and parallel vote tabulation
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